Now that I've concluded my rental search for a 1-bed, this is what I've noticed:
Tons of secondary suites on the market. Hard to tell whether prices are down on average since you see all sorts of things, but units with 2+ beds seem to be going cheaper than usual - surely because these usually go by the room and with the lack of international students they're taking a hit. The bottom of the market seems to be about $650-700 per room.
Also lots of AirBnB-oriented units going long term. Lost count of how many downtown studios and small 1-beds are available. They seemed to be generally on the higher end (e.g. Jukebox, Union) so they aren't particularly cheap, say $1500-1600 for 400-500 sqft. But that reflects how much more revenue they generate as AirBnBs, which is why there are also quite a few real estate listings for these units.
Prices for purpose-built rentals seem to have dropped a bit but not by much - maybe a year's worth of rollback. Overall (including parking + storage + laundry fees) you're still looking at $1400-1500 for old stock and $1600-1800 for a newer/reno'd one. As the WIP stock comes online maybe it'll get a bit better for renters.
Some price drops in condos too, maybe a bit moreso in the higher end of the market. I personally went with a newly built condo in a great location, financially it's comparable to a newer purpose-built rental after accounting for the extras and amenities. You're maybe looking at 1300-1500 for older woodframe condos, and 1700-2000 for newer and/or concrete condos. I've seen some decent deals, though they go fast.
Speaking of going fast, the rental market is still very competitive. Landlords pretending COVID never happened and charging ever-increasing rents seem to not be moving their units, but stuff priced maybe 5-7% less than pre-COVID times is still going fast. I didn't get a response in about 1/3 of my inquiries despite generally responding to ads within hours of them showing up. Given vacancy rates were extremely low pre-COVID, this makes sense - and no doubt some tenants are trying to get out of bad deals from the last year or two they felt compelled to take.
I was kinda shocked at the number of dual income households competing for 550-700 sqft units even when they weren't particularly well priced. I'd speculate it's because tenant's future income expectations override the price drop from COVID circumstances, coupled with Victoria having stickier rents from retirees and government workers. I ended up going with a moderately sized 1-bed in part because I failed at every + den I applied for, but succeeding at 1-beds.
I don't expect the long-term rental market to bottom out until the fiscal reckoning from the COVID bailouts come to fore, where I'd imagine you will see some real disparity across neighborhoods and type of stock - the weak CDN and apparent stability should prop up the AirBnB and secondary suite stock back up for the most part, but the big cuts that will have to be made will affect most of the market in a bad way. And I'm saying this without accounting for whatever the second COVID wave will look like, there's a chance no one will have time to worry about rents or vacancy rates by October.
Edited by Casual Kev, 12 June 2020 - 09:16 PM.