James Bay is Victoria's West End. It's a peninsula that affords water and mountain views in more than one direction. No surprise, in the 1960s James Bay began developing in the same way that the West End was developing, until there was a backlash against the highrises. (It's also no surprise that there's a big old highrise on the hill in Rockland, and a couple of old junior highrise buildings on the rise on Beach Drive in Oak Bay. Take advantage of the heights, just like the old residential highrises on the slope above Kitsilano Beach, or up the hill in Point Grey.)
I would agree to that. Taking advantage of the heights is the only viable compromise in a situation like this one.
Densification was a side effect of taking advantage of the views, but now densification is its own reward. Transit is also driving densification now. So you have lots of new residential towers in areas that were absolutely undesirable just a few short years ago, both in terms of views and in terms of lifestyle. Along the Millennium Line just east of the Burnaby border, for example.
Well, in Victoria, the transit system is horrible. Coming from Ottawa I can simply tell you that Victoria has much to learn on this matter. The routes aren't the greatest and the schedule is barely followed. I think densification for the view might be driving transit in the medium to long term but right now people are still using their cars, mostly. (The price for a parking space in a new condo is off the roof by the way).
Victoria is still stuck in the views-from-ivory-towers phase. It's all about views, and nobody really wants denser neighbourhoods. The problem with the ivory tower mindset is that it's slow going. Even the people who live in residential towers don't want residential towers! Nobody lives in the Songhees because they want to live in the Songhees. They live in the Songhees because they want a view. They scream bloody murder if a seagull blocks their precious view.
Is Victoria really in that phase? What about all the condo buildings that just went up in Victoria West and downtown recently? I think it's the other way around. Some people are afraid of expanding the high-rises over areas of traditionnal neighbourhoods. I would say that this phenomenon is true in Victoria / James Bay. I see Victoria West /Esquimalt (east) as the ground to expansion. Have you seen Swallow's Landing? It's in Esquimalt. There will be densification. It will be more rapid in the west part of the city where the view can only be created by the building elevation. Hopefully this won't create a "wall"against the harbour though.
There's a huge prickiness about living in Victoria versus Esquimalt - even Victoria West tends to define itself as part of Victoria versus Esquimalt. Many city of Victoria residents never (have to) cross the bridge. In the case of Victoria West, the super yacht marina is an outrage to downtown and the residents of Victoria West, much more than just a complaint about a seagulls. If you pay 400k+ for a condo you buy for the view and its luxury, why would you concern yourself with densification?
One new Corazon or Juliet every four or five years? That's a glacial pace. Even 25 years from now, people who live in downtown Victoria will identify with the building in which they live rather than with the district in which they live. I live in The Falls. You live in 834 Johnson. She lives in the Hudson. It's about the buildings and the views rather than the dense neighbourhood and the overall experience.
I think it's already happening. People associate themselves with buildings, some with the roads they live on. It's a "downtown Victoria" syndrome because if you live 10 mins of driving away almost no one knows about it. It's about the view and it's about getting something new that doesn't remind you of the 1970's. It's also a little more complicated than that. Many of the owners aren't looking to live there 365 days a year. They're from Alberta or the US and they want a summer retreat. The drive for densification is severely limited by its demand because the demand is very limited by its local population. So, unless you can create an outside demand (that will buy for location, view, amenities), Victoria will never re-create itself as an efficient, dense, yet practical city.