Referendum on STV
#81
Posted 10 May 2009 - 01:28 PM
Know it all.
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#82
Posted 10 May 2009 - 01:30 PM
Oscar Wilde (1854 - 1900), The Picture of Dorian Gray, 1891
#83
Posted 10 May 2009 - 07:49 PM
Software has failed and had problems, but there is no recorded example of tampering the the software to change the results. There have been examples of ballot stuffing in recent years with the analog systems.
Indeed.
Ballot box stuffing on a significant scale is most likely to be detected, while software tampering is easier to get away with.
#84
Posted 10 May 2009 - 09:15 PM
Indeed.
Ballot box stuffing on a significant scale is most likely to be detected, while software tampering is easier to get away with.
So you are saying since no one has ever come up with an example, therefore it is occurring?
Do you have any idea how HUGE a task it would be to rig the software in an election? The scale of people that would have to involved would impossible for it to remain quiet. Software is complex and needs large teams of people to develop it to the point where you get 99.999% accuracy, which is what is functionally required for electoral software. How would you make a change to the software and not have it noticed at some point in the testing?
What you are suggesting is functionally impossible. If it was possible, the person that did it would have much better things to do like set up software that empties bank accounts and retire very, very rich to some remote island. The possibility is so remote of this occurring that I would bet on the second coming happening first.
How many people do think work on a project to develop software to read ballots and tabulate the results?
#85
Posted 11 May 2009 - 06:49 AM
So you are saying since no one has ever come up with an example, therefore it is occurring?
Do you have any idea how HUGE a task it would be to rig the software in an election? The scale of people that would have to involved would impossible for it to remain quiet. Software is complex and needs large teams of people to develop it to the point where you get 99.999% accuracy, which is what is functionally required for electoral software. How would you make a change to the software and not have it noticed at some point in the testing?
What you are suggesting is functionally impossible. If it was possible, the person that did it would have much better things to do like set up software that empties bank accounts and retire very, very rich to some remote island. The possibility is so remote of this occurring that I would bet on the second coming happening first.
How many people do think work on a project to develop software to read ballots and tabulate the results?
I don't know a lot about this, but a lot of reputable computer scientists disagree with you. I'm having trouble thinking of an easier computing task than counting ballots. I dont' see why any company would need more than one engineer to write the software to tabulate the votes in as complex a manner as you want. Computers are very good at counting. Because the programs are relatively simple it is also a relatively simple task to corrupt them.
http://usacm.acm.org.../index.php?p=73
#86
Posted 11 May 2009 - 07:54 AM
I don't know a lot about this, but a lot of reputable computer scientists disagree with you. I'm having trouble thinking of an easier computing task than counting ballots. I dont' see why any company would need more than one engineer to write the software to tabulate the votes in as complex a manner as you want. Computers are very good at counting. Because the programs are relatively simple it is also a relatively simple task to corrupt them.
http://usacm.acm.org.../index.php?p=73
Counting ballots is easy, reading the ballots is not easy.
#87
Posted 12 May 2009 - 09:46 PM
#88
Posted 12 May 2009 - 11:05 PM
Sadly, i'm not really surprised that STV went down in flames this time. I figured if it didn't pass in '05 after two totally lopsided elections back to back, it had little chance this time.
#89
Posted 12 May 2009 - 11:34 PM
#90
Posted 12 May 2009 - 11:47 PM
BC Liberals - 46% popular vote = 39 seats
BC NDP - 42% popular vote = 35 (almost 36 seats)
Green Party - 8% popular vote = 7 seats
And yet people still can't see why we need something other than FPTP?
#91
Posted 12 May 2009 - 11:51 PM
Numbers are still coming in, but this looks like a big defeat for electoral reform.
#92
Posted 13 May 2009 - 10:44 AM
#93
Posted 13 May 2009 - 11:11 AM
Is Bernard on suicide watch? Poor guy must be pulling his hair out after all the work in promoting STV, and to get only 39%.
Way too many years of my life were dedicated to electoral reform. On September 11th 2001 I drove from Lillooet to Vancouver because some people were thinking of forming a fair vote Canada chapter - sort of gives you the idea of how obsessed I have been.
I have been active on this issue since the 1980s and made a major part of my political life since 1993.
In 2005 I put in 15 hours days for three months on the referendum.
I am not a happy camper it was defeated so badly, still even being trounced this time, it still did better at the polls than MMP did in PEI and Ontario.
My 14 year old son Daniel has accepted his destiny to move the issue forward and be ready to lead the electoral reform forces in 2040 when we will realistically have our next kick at the can in Canada. I will be in my mid 70s and cranky by then.
The 2009 election results show that each major party is stronger in the seats they hold, only 21 seats had the winner win by less than 10% in this election. In 64 ridings in the next election there will be no serious race at all.
Though here in Victoria we will see very strong races in three ridings next time around.
The electoral math of the current electoral districts will mean that the NDP will have beat the Liberals in the popular vote in 2013 by about three percentage points to have a chance to form a government.
#96
Posted 06 May 2011 - 09:19 PM
Yes, well perhaps the Brit's math isn't good enough to handle more than two parties.
I'm a Brit and my maths isn't very good at all. So you may be onto something.
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#97
Posted 09 May 2011 - 09:06 AM
AV is the system the BC Liberals and the BC NDP just used in their leadership races. Neither party was willing to use First Past the Post even though the result would have been the same as the AV result.
AV suffered in the UK because the Conservatives were fundamentally against as was most of the Labour party. Many electoral reform activists voted no because they want a proportional system.
There is a reasonable hope in the UK for a PR system because they already use many different forms. Among others, the UK uses STV in Northern Ireland, MMP in Wales, a party list system for the European elections, and a variation on MMP in Scotland. People in much of the UK get to vote in multiple different ways in different elections
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