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Ukrainian and now Venezuelan Crisis'


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#361 Mike K.

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 11:44 AM

You don't think the Visegrad Group would react to a Russian invasion along their immediate borders?


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#362 Rob Randall

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 12:02 PM

You don't think the Visegrad Group would react to a Russian invasion along their immediate borders?

 

I'm not sure. According to the official playbook they'd probably be incorporated into some sort of "sphere of influence" to keep them tamed.


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#363 jonny

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 01:35 PM

It'd be shocking if Russia did not continue their expansionist agenda. 



#364 LJ

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 07:47 PM

Back to the USSR!!


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#365 Mike K.

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Posted 17 January 2019 - 07:59 AM

I'm not sure. According to the official playbook they'd probably be incorporated into some sort of "sphere of influence" to keep them tamed.

 

I don't think the current rulers of said countries have much loyalty towards or sympathy for Russian imperialism. The Brits and the protesting Frenchmen might be too busy dealing with their own governments to pay attention to Russia, but the Visegrad are armed to the teeth and ready for the possibility of a Russian invasion. And Poland's desire to setup "Fort Trump" while growing armaments near Kaliningrad is not just a slight of hand but a necessary protective/defensive measure for the entirety of the European continent.


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#366 Rob Randall

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Posted 17 January 2019 - 10:22 AM

A soft target like Crimea is easy pickings for a Russian invasion.

 

I think what that book is getting at is that for the others, the Russians begin by destabilizing the countries and their allies. They are playing the long game. Their hope is that eventually Poland, Czech etc. will be forced into making a kind of Sophie's Choice and that they'd be better off within a reconstituted Warsaw Pact than with a disintegrating Western alliance.

 

The Russians have been playing these tricks for well over a century. They are masters at it.


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#367 Mike K.

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Posted 17 January 2019 - 01:56 PM

It’s hard to be tricked when you know the magician’s secrets. The west will never understand Russia and it can’t fathom how some cultures and countries can.

Figuring out Russia ain’t that hard. The problem is the leaders of the west think they always know better. There there, little Poland and Hungary, let me help you with that... That’s the sort of mindset the Eastern Europeans are tired of, hence Visegrad, hence the big fat middle finger to the EU and something even less polite to the government further east.

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#368 amor de cosmos

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Posted 18 January 2019 - 08:36 AM

The right-wing government of Bolsonaro on Saturday said it recognized Juan Guaido, a Venezuelan opposition leader who is head of the congress, as the rightful president of Venezuela - even though Guaido himself has not proclaimed himself president.

Socialist President Nicolas Maduro began a new term last week under a cloud of international criticism by governments around the world, who have described him as an illegitimate leader whose policies have plunged Venezuela into its worst ever economic crisis.

“We will continue doing everything possible to re-establish order, democracy and freedom there,” Bolsonaro said in a video, in which he stood next to the head of the opposition-appointed Supreme Court in exile, Miguel Angel Martin.

“We asked the people of Venezuela to resist and have faith, because I believe a solution is coming soon,” Bolsonaro said in the video issued by his office.

Guaido, a lawmaker from the hard-line Popular Will opposition party, said last week he was prepared to assume the presidency on an interim basis and call elections, but would only do so with support of the armed forces.

https://www.reuters....a-idUSKCN1PC00N

#369 amor de cosmos

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Posted 27 January 2019 - 08:06 AM

As U.S. lawmakers, civil society leaders, and Latin America experts continue to warn against American intervention in Venezuela’s internal political affairs, the Wall Street Journal on Friday confirmed suspicions that opposition leader Juan Guaido’s move to declare himself “interim president” of Venezuela this week was highly coordinated with the Trump White House and Republican lawmakers.

According to the Journal, Vice President Mike Pence called Guaido the night before his announcement and “pledged” that the Trump administration would support him “if he seized the reins of government from [elected President] Nicolas Maduro by invoking a clause in the South American country’s constitution.”

“That late-night call set in motion a plan that had been developed in secret over the preceding several weeks, accompanied by talks between U.S. officials, allies, lawmakers, and key Venezuelan opposition figures, including Mr. Guaido himself,” the Journal reported, citing an anonymous administration official. “Almost instantly, just as Mr. Pence had promised, President Trump issued a statement recognizing Mr. Guaido as the country’s rightful leader.”

https://www.nationof...osition-leader/

#370 amor de cosmos

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:50 AM

Sputnik: Are you ready to meet with Mr Trump — invite him here to Venezuela, for instance, to discuss the current situation?

Nicolas Maduro: For all these years, I have been trying to reach him on a personal level — I have sent messages that reached Trump publicly, through the media, in order to establish a relationship with the US government, in order to have respect, a dialogue, despite the political, cultural, and ideological differences between Donald Trump and Nicolas Maduro. And it seemed like the window of opportunity opened for it. But Bolton prevented Donald Trump from initiating a dialogue with Nicolas Maduro. I have the information that he has prohibited it.

At this point, I think it is difficult. I am ready to talk with Donald Trump personally, in public, in the US, in Venezuela, wherever he wants, about any agenda, on any subjects he would like to discuss. Moreover, I am convinced that if we meet in person, it will be a different story. But I think, they will not give us a chance. Let's be patient. For now, I think it is very difficult.

Sputnik: What do you think are the primary motives behind US actions in Venezuela? Oil?

Nicolas Maduro: There are a couple of goals. The primary goal is to get Venezuelan oil since we have the biggest reserves of certified oil in the world. We are certifying what is on track to become the biggest gold reserves in the world, we have a quarter of world's gas, we have vast reserves of diamonds, huge reserves of drinking water, aluminium, and iron. We are a power in the field of energy resources, natural resources. But there is a certain point that needs to be taken into consideration, which is more than 200 years old. Venezuela is the country where Bolivar was born, we have the strongest Bolivarian tradition here.

https://sputniknews....lton-sanctions/

#371 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 10:01 AM

The problem with Maduro’s oil is due to corruption and downright incompetence the cost to extract Venezuelan oil is higher than what they can sell it for.

The world is currently flush with oil and there’s no immediacy to strike a deal with his regime. Had this been the late 90’s the debates would have been very different.

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#372 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 10:35 AM

some of their "gold reserves" might be heading out on a russian flight.

 

https://www.telegrap...ract-20-tonnes/

 

 

 

Allegations that a Russian jet which landed in Caracas was due to load an $840 million portion of the country's gold reserves surfaced early on Wednesday.


Edited by Victoria Watcher, 30 January 2019 - 10:35 AM.


#373 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 10:42 AM

Of course the Russian jet could be a conduit for a transaction with another nation.

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#374 amor de cosmos

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 11:35 AM

ROME (Sputnik) - Not a single Venezuelan embassy in the world recognized opposition leader Juan Guaido as the leader of the country, and the current crisis did not affect the work of the country's diplomatic mission in Italy, Venezuelan Ambassador to Italy Isaias Rodriguez told Sputnik on Tuesday.
 

"The recent events did not affect either in terms of consular work or from a diplomatic point of view. The position of the Italian government was very cautious," the diplomat said, adding that the embassy never recognized Guaido as head of state, and so did the country's other diplomatic missions across the world.

https://sputniknews....embassy-guaido/

i think moscow might be a safer place for venezuela's gold reserves than the western hemisphere
 

CARACAS (Reuters) - Venezuela is seeking to repatriate about $550 million in gold bars from the Bank of England because of fears it could be caught up in international sanctions on the country, two sources with direct knowledge of the effort told Reuters.

Venezuela’s hard currency holdings have dwindled as existing U.S. financial sanctions have effectively blocked President Nicolas Maduro’s government from borrowing on international markets.

The Trump administration on Thursday issued a new round of sanctions banning U.S. citizens from having dealings with anyone involved in “corrupt or deceptive” gold sales from Venezuela, as part of efforts to boost pressure on Maduro.

Maduro’s government is seeking to bring 14 tonnes of gold held in the Bank of England back to Venezuela, according to two public officials with direct knowledge of the operation, who asked not to be identified.

https://www.reuters....s-idUSKCN1NA1Q7
 

London (CNN)The Bank of England has blocked Nicolas Maduro's officials from withdrawing $1.2 billion worth of gold, Bloomberg reported, dealing a further blow to the embattled Venezuelan President as he tries to salvage his authority.

According to the report, which cites unnamed people familiar with the matter, the gold is a significant part of the $8 billion in foreign reserves held by the Venezuelan central bank.

CNN has not been able to independently verify the report and is attempting to get a response from Maduro's officials.

The move by the Bank of England came after top U.S. officials urged the British government to help cut off Maduro's access to his country's assets, the report said, and instead steer them towards opposition leader Juan Guaido, who has claimed the presidency.

https://www.cnn.com/...intl/index.html
 

A UK foreign office minister has suggested that the Bank of England grant access to £1.2bn in Venezuelan gold reserves to the self-proclaimed interim leader Juan Guaidó rather than Nicolás Maduro.

In a statement to British MPs, Sir Alan Duncan said the decision was a matter for the Bank and its governor, Mark Carney, and not the government. But he added: “It is they who have to make a decision on this, but no doubt when they do so they will take into account there are now a large number of countries across the world questioning the legitimacy of Nicolás Maduro and recognising that of Juan Guaidó.”

Guaidó has already written to Theresa May asking for the funds to be sent to him.

https://www.theguard...-nicolas-maduro

Edited by amor de cosmos, 30 January 2019 - 11:40 AM.


#375 rjag

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 11:45 AM

https://youtu.be/bEvHwiJWgAY

 

What's Happening in Venezuela?: Just the Facts

#376 Rob Randall

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 11:49 AM

What a basket case.

 

I have a friend that just returned from a trip to Colombia, she says the place is crawling with refugee Venezuelans.


"[Randall's] aesthetic poll was more accurate than his political acumen"

-Tom Hawthorne, Toronto Globe and Mail


#377 amor de cosmos

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Posted 06 February 2019 - 10:25 AM

Amid fears of an incursion by U.S. forces, a shipment of rifles, ammunition, and other military equipment from the U.S. was seized at a Venezuelan airport, according to a state official writing on Twitter.

Endes Palencia, the deputy minister of prevention and public safety, late Tuesday posted pictures of high-caliber ammunition, 19 rifles, 118 rifle chargers, 90 radio antennas, and six cellphones shipped from Miami, Florida to Arturo Michelena International Airport in Valencia.

The ammunition was reportedly found in a storage yard of the airport and may have entered the country on Sunday aboard an Airbus N881YV.

Authorities said they will investigate to find those responsible "for financing terrorist groups that seek to undermine the peace of the people of Venezuela."

Security has been tightened at ports, air terminals, customs and other areas of the country.

https://www.aa.com.t...fficial/1385256

#378 LJ

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Posted 06 February 2019 - 08:08 PM

Now Maduro has closed the bridge off so that US food and medical aid can't get in. This isn't going to end well.


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#379 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 06 February 2019 - 08:17 PM

Venezuelan troops have barricaded a bridge on the country's western border with Colombia in an attempt to block the delivery of humanitarian aid, and stop what Nicolas Maduro claims is a prelude to a full invasion.


https://www.telegrap...change-freedom/

#380 amor de cosmos

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Posted 11 February 2019 - 09:20 AM

The US-led financial blockade against Venezuela has cost the Latin America the equivalent of between $260 billion and $350 billion between 2013 and 2017, a fresh report by researchers at the Latin American Geopolitical Strategic Centre (CELAG) think tank has revealed.
 

According to researchers, the estimated losses in production of goods and services cost the economy between 1.1 and 1.6 percent of its GDP, or the equivalent of between $12,200 and $13,400 for every man, woman and child in the country.


CELAG listed pressures including the loss of international credit markets resulting from poor ratings by financial rating agencies such as Standard & Poor's and Moody's, as well as targeted restrictions affecting imports financed by oil revenues, which have hit Venezuela especially hard given its heavy exports on energy exports.

The think tank calculated that the country paid over $17 billion in additional interest rates over its status as a 'high risk' country, with the country's default risk ranked higher than that of war-torn countries like Syria, despite Caracas never failing to make a payment. Furthermore, the country lost access to an estimated $22.5 billion due to deliberate international isolation, with this pressure only intensifying in 2015 and the fall of crude oil prices.

https://sputniknews....s-calculations/
https://www.celag.or...ezuela-resumen/

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