On the third anniversary of B.C.’s adoption of a vacant home and speculation tax, the province says the tax has turned empty units into homes.
But experts remain divided on its benefits and note it’s hard to isolate the tax’s exact effect on the supply and market of housing and rental stock.
The B.C. Ministry of Finance, in a 22-page technical briefing to mayors made public Wednesday, points to Canada Mortgage Housing Corp. figures that it says shows the tax “helped” add 18,000 units to the long-term rental market in Greater Vancouver in 2019 and 2020 as investors repurposed their properties toward long-term rental and added newly completed units to the market.
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Pavlov said that the speculation and vacancy tax and other NDP housing measures are choking new housing starts, pointing to a recent drop in building permits in the Metro area.
Pavlov says the tax can devalue a new housing asset because it reduces flexibility in its use and can also reduce other government revenues, such as from the property transfer tax.
“The way to increase affordability is to increase supply,” said Pavlov, who specializes in risk management for real estate investments, mortgages and financial derivatives.
The latest CMHC rental market report notes that a combination of “market forces and housing policies from different levels of government” have led property owners to convert units from existing uses to long-term rental, creating new rental supply. The CMHC report notes that in 2020, 3,631 of the 7,137 condo units added to the rental market were conversions of existing units to long-term rental.
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