I have been vexed with how to approach this referendum. I have been advocating for a better voting system for going on 40 years, in 2005 I ran the Yes side of the referendum, but I have been on the fence of how to vote but today I think I have come to peace with my decision. I will be voting No and will only mark Urban Rural for alternative systems
What it comes down to me is that this referendum process is awful, it is a mess on every level. I hate a bad process and do not think it tends to lead to good outcomes.
The three alternatives are all really bad options, there are many better ones out there but they managed to pick three that I think could be worse than the status quo but I can not be certain. Other than the names of the proposed we have been given more or less no details. The details matter because that is what really matters in an electoral system.
Just as an example, the proposed hybrid system called Mixed Member Proportional has a multitude of ways it can be implemented that provide really different results. Do you get two votes or one? Can a party game the system by splitting into two related parties maximize the results on both sides of the ballot? Do the parties control the decision of who is on the party list or not? Will there be overhang seats or not? Will list MLAs have any independence or will they have legally to do as the leader tells them to on each vote? I could go on and on with questions about important details that have not been addressed at al.
I feel like I am buying a house and all I am allowed is to see a picture and know how many bedrooms and bathrooms it has. The condition, neighbourhood, relative value, age, on-site visit etc are all unavailable, just trust the real estate agent that is is what you want.
Given how badly the referendum has been set up, I have no trust that these people would be able to design a functional electoral system if there is a yes vote.
People have told me "vote yes and then in two elections there will be another referendum and you can vote the system out.' Sort of sounds like "get married, you can always get divorced". As anyone who has done the divorce thing, it is a lot of hard work to undo a bad decision.
The single biggest reason I was considering voting Yes was that the No campaign is moronic and only consists of bullshit. But I have to let go of my dislike of manipulative assholes and look at the question at hand for what it is.
Just some comments on the systems:
Urban Rural - why has one been proposed specifically to penalize rural residents?
Dual Member Proportional - I have no idea why they decided on some newly proposed system that is somehow supposed be a better MMP, I think. It is needlessly complex and unclear to me that it would bring results anyone is looking for