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US Midterm Election - 2018


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#21 Mike K.

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 07:25 PM

Well, so much for that blue wave...


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#22 RFS

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 07:31 PM

Texas called for Ted Cruz but it was a squeaker. Won’t be long before Texas is lost for good.

The house has been called for the democrats

#23 Mike K.

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 07:39 PM

Republicans take the senate.


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#24 Mike K.

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 07:42 PM

Looks like Arizona is going to stay red?


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#25 Mike K.

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 07:46 PM

#Beto luck next time.


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#26 Wayne

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 07:50 PM

Hope for the western states to swing vote for the house. Now 126 Dem and 133 Rep.



#27 N E Body

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 08:12 PM

It's already been called that the Dems will control the House.

 

... and already there is talk of going after the tax returns.


Edited by N E Body, 06 November 2018 - 08:15 PM.

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#28 rmpeers

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 08:19 PM

It's already been called that the Dems will control the House.

... and already there is talk of going after the tax returns.


Pardon my ignorance, but does the House have the power to begin impea... I dare not even say it yet. Don't want to jinx anything.

#29 N E Body

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 08:23 PM

Pardon my ignorance, but does the House have the power to begin impea... I dare not even say it yet. Don't want to jinx anything.

 

Yes... but a two thirds majority is needed in the Senate to convict.

 

Trump's tax returns could play a big part of the impeachment process.


Edited by N E Body, 06 November 2018 - 08:25 PM.

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#30 LeoVictoria

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 08:37 PM

Yes... but a two thirds majority is needed in the Senate to convict.

 

Trump's tax returns could play a big part of the impeachment process.

 

Doubt it.   Massive tax fraud by the Trump family has already been uncovered, Republicans don't care about that.



#31 LeoVictoria

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 08:37 PM

Good result for the dems though.   +34 seats is a heck of a gain.


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#32 Rob Randall

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 08:59 PM

Pardon my ignorance, but does the House have the power to begin impea... I dare not even say it yet. Don't want to jinx anything.

 

Impeachment's unlikely without control of the Senate or a Republican rebellion. But some key committees will be headed by Dems so that will make things challenging for Trump and his family. That's what undid Nixon.


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#33 Cassidy

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 09:51 PM

Impeachment is an awful lot easier if it becomes apparent that Trump committed a crime (or more likely, a series of crimes).

Folks on the red side in the Senate will be quite hesitant to hitch their wagons to a guy who is facing multiple criminal charges.

 

The right wing pundits can spin it any way they want ... but the truth is "their guy" got totally stomped tonight ... and it looks good on him.


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#34 Rob Randall

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 10:23 PM

Midterms are always bad for presidents. The Republicans did alright tonight.

 

Looks like Scott Walker will remain governor of Wisconsin in an incredibly tight race. Too bad because the guy's a real drip.


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#35 Greg

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 10:25 PM

Pretty good night for the Democrats, but not overwhelmingly so. Big swing in the House. The Senate map was simply stacked against them, based on the seats that were open. Of the 35 Senate races, the Democrats will end up winning somewhere between 23 and 25 of the races, but still net losing several seats. Trump has to be given some credit for flipping Senate seats in Indiana, Missouri, and North Dakota (and maybe Montana), proving he can still motivate his base. Democrats will have had an overwhelming win in terms of total popular vote (which isn't completely meaningful in a Congressional year). Suburban voters and Independent voters both shifting strongly toward Democrats.

 

And now Mueller at least has somewhere to deliver his final report where it won't be completely ignored.

 

I expect major scandals coming out of the Georgia governor race related to voter suppression.


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#36 nerka

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 11:56 PM

The Republicans did alright tonight.

 

Relative to possible outcomes they did OK to good but the bottom line is that the Republicans lost tonight.

 

Trump had a compliant Senate and House. He just lost one of those.

 

Obamacare repeal is dead unless it happens through the courts.

 

Maybe the Dems will even restore some fiscal sanity to the deficit busting Repubs.


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#37 nerka

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Posted 06 November 2018 - 11:58 PM

The only sad thing about tonight is that Ted Cruz was not consigned to the trash bin of history.


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#38 Mike K.

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Posted 07 November 2018 - 06:11 AM

The takeaway from all of this is:
- the media had it wrong (again), there was no blue wave
- celebrities hurt politicians more than they help them with their unsolicited, high-profile and attention seeking endorsements
- the outcome isn’t a loss for Trump, nor is it a win for the Dems (don’t let the media convince you otherwise), it’s a win for democracy with balance returned to Washington
- the Democrats are no longer in total opposition, they now need to produce results and back the claims they make against the administration (hello, Russian Collusion)
- the road to 2020 is clear, the Democrats have their work cut out for them

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#39 LeoVictoria

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Posted 07 November 2018 - 07:09 AM

The takeaway from all of this is:
- the media had it wrong (again), there was no blue wave
- celebrities hurt politicians more than they help them with their unsolicited, high-profile and attention seeking endorsements
- the outcome isn’t a loss for Trump, nor is it a win for the Dems (don’t let the media convince you otherwise), it’s a win for democracy with balance returned to Washington
- the Democrats are no longer in total opposition, they now need to produce results and back the claims they make against the administration (hello, Russian Collusion)
- the road to 2020 is clear, the Democrats have their work cut out for them

Not a loss for Trump? So losing control of the house is what exactly if not a loss? Doubleplusungood?

Result is exactly in line with projections from reputable projections too. Polling quite good

Edited by LeoVictoria, 07 November 2018 - 07:10 AM.

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#40 nerka

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Posted 07 November 2018 - 07:10 AM

Key takeaways:

  • Republicans were defending three things broadly: House, Senate, and a boatload of governor's mansions
  • They lost the House, outperformed expectations in the Senate and lost multiple governor races
  • No matter how much Trump paints this as a win this is a loss (Sorry Mike)
  • Democrats won the popular vote by a substantial 7%. That this translates into only a narrow house win illustrates how bad the mostly Republican gerrymanders are.
  • Governor wins are significant as they could help the Dems put a check on gerrymandering in some key states
  • Unified Republican control for two years produced only one significant piece of legislation - a tax cut targeted at the wealthy
  • With divided control there will be no significant legislation passed in the next two years barring a national emergency
  • Dems in the house will pass popular pieces of legislation designed to make the Repubs look bad by voting them down and also to highlight what they might do in 2020 if they regain the Senate. None of these will pass the Senate now of course.
  • Mueller's report will see the light of day. This is a good thing but it won't make much difference. There will be nothing in the Mueller report that will make Trump's base desert him.
  • No wall. Phew  Mexico is off the hook for paying for it :-)
  • Obamacare lives on. Amazingly Republicans actually tried to campaign as the protectors of health care.
  • Dems MAY restore some fiscal sanity. Unified Republican control produced some of the largest peacetime deficits ever. Shocking to be running such big deficits at the peak of the economic cycle

 

  • The results should give the Dems some hope for 2020. Trump made this about him more than any recent midterm. If the popular vote was a referendum on Trump he lost badly. But of course 2020 will be different with an actual opponent to Trump that can be attacked.
  • There will be investigations of course

  • Trump will become increasingly unhinged in his attacks now that there is one branch of government he does not control


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