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COVID-19 / Coronavirus updates in Victoria, BC


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#12181 amor de cosmos

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 08:42 AM

Large study finds SARS-CoV-2 viral load is lowest in children
https://www.news-med...n-children.aspx

China reported more than 100 new COVID-19 cases for a seventh day on Tuesday (Jan 19) in the worst domestic outbreak since March last year, with one northeastern province seeing a record daily increase
https://www.channeln...-hebei-13991228

China may vaccinate children and teenager against coronavirus as early as March: industry insider
http://www.ecns.cn/n...te1836352.shtml
 

  长春市卫生健康委副主任姜洪波表示,该市本轮疫情传染来源明确,传播链条清楚,接到报告后2小时即对患家所在小区进行了封闭管控,并适当扩大管控区域范围,划大包围圈,将阳性人员曾到过的场所全部人员纳入风险人员管理,并实施封闭隔离、核酸检测。“新增病例均为在管密切接触者、密接的密接,说明疫情在可控范围内。”

  姜洪波表示,为进一步加大疫情排查力度,1月18日长春市绿园、二道、宽城等部分城区组织市民开展核酸检测,目前全市共设置3011个采样点位,出动14800名医护人员,截至19日16时全市累计采样123万人,预计1月23日22时完成第一批采样任务。

Jiang Hongbo, deputy director of the Changchun Municipal Health Commission, said that the source of the epidemic in the city is clear, and the chain of transmission is clear. Two hours after receiving the report, the community where the patient’s family is located was closed and controlled, and the scope of the control area was appropriately expanded. Encircle the circle, include all the people in the places where the positive person has been to risk personnel management, and implement closed isolation and nucleic acid testing. "The new cases are all close contacts and close contacts under management, indicating that the epidemic is within control."

Jiang Hongbo said that in order to further strengthen the investigation of the epidemic, on January 18th, some urban areas of Changchun City, such as Lvyuan, Erdao, and Kuancheng, organized citizens to carry out nucleic acid testing. Currently, the city has set up a total of 3,011 sampling points and dispatched 14,800 medical staff. As of 16:00 on the 19th, a total of 1.23 million people were sampled in the city. The first batch of sampling tasks is expected to be completed at 22:00 on January 23.

http://www.chinanews...9/9391463.shtml
 

Accountable.US reports that private jet companies, as a group, made out pretty well when it came to handing out emergency pandemic funds. Private jet companies received over $643 million in federal aid, spread across three emergency programs. The majority, over half a billion dollars, came in grants from the Payroll Support Program.
 
"[A]t least 49 private jet companies have been given access to all three programs, taking up to $87.38 million in federal COVID stimulus funds between them," notes the report.

https://www.dailykos...c-bailout-funds
 

A worrisome coronavirus variant is being found in more and more outbreaks in California — including a large outbreak in San Jose in which an air-powered Christmas tree costume led to 90 infections, according to news reports

Scientists don't know yet whether the variant, called L452R, is more transmissible than other strains of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. But its presence in multiple unrelated outbreaks has health officials on guard. 
 
"The fact that this variant was identified in several large outbreaks in our county is a red flag and must be investigated further," Santa Clara County health officer Sara Cody said in a statement.
 
The L452R variant is different from the B.1.1.7 variant first found in the United Kingdom and subsequently discovered in Colorado and nine other U.S. states. Researchers calculate that the B.1.1.7 variant is between 50% and 74% more transmissible than the standard coronavirus strain. That new strain may dominate U.S. coronavirus cases by March, given its propensity to spread. Fortunately, vaccines will likely work against the B.1.1.7  variant, but it could put severe pressure on the health care system and cause deaths to rise before most of the general population can be vaccinated.

https://www.livescie...us-variant.html
 

An important thing to know about sterilizing any domestic space is that you can do damage by using cleaners that are too harsh. This goes double for the President’s home, which is full of historic artifacts.

“The White House is a very different house than my house or your house. So when you’re thinking about how to clean a hospital environment versus a home versus a historical building—and the White House you can think of almost like a museum in many ways—you need to use very different methods,” says Andrea Armani, the Ray Irani Chair in Engineering and Materials Science and Professor of Chemical Engineering and Materials Science at the USC. “In a hospital, you can use bleach on almost every surface. It’s designed to be sterilized. There aren’t very nice pieces of art hanging on the wall. Whereas you move into a home environment, I have wood floods—I don’t plan on cleaning my wood floors with bleach. Most people have hanging draperies. You can’t just splash those with bleach or everything is white.” In the White House, one wrong move, and you could be destroying a piece of American history.

Cleaning and replacing the soft stuff

The first step Armani suggests is to begin with all the soft-touch items.

“Step one is look around the White House, and everything that’s a linen, strip that off and clean it. You can do the same thing with the carpets. You can take those, roll ’em up, and clean those,” says Armani. This goes for drapes and couch covers, too.
 
As it turns out, Biden took more precautions than most presidents, and budgeted more than $100,000 to outright replace the carpeting through much of the White House. But how do you launder a fine rug or drapery to ensure it’s sterile? In a word, heat.
 
“Going with something like a thermal tool would be best, because you aren’t going to damage the fabric,” says Armani. “That’s basically how they clean linens in hospitals. They take the sheets, put them in a high temperature oven, and clean them with steam.”

Sterilizing hard surfaces . . . and nooks and crannies

*snip*
 
To clean White House surfaces, at first Streifel suggested the cleaning staff might use vaporized hydrogen peroxide, fogging the room with disinfectant to top every surface with COVID-killing chemical. Technically, that would work pretty well—as it does in hospitals—but it would be devastatingly harsh on antiques.
 
“[With something like] the Lincoln Desk, you can’t just clean that with hydrogen peroxide,” says Armani, in reference to Abraham Lincoln’s desk, still found in his room on the second floor of the White House. “The hardest to clean surfaces are wood surfaces. You can’t take a desk and put that in a washing machine.”
 
In this case, both Streifel and Armani agree the most delicate solution would be UVC-light, and perhaps using wands to manually shine light onto the furniture.
 
“It’s going to be a very slow process…and you have to worry about the person cleaning that surface,” says Armani, alluding to the burns that UVC can inflict on human skin, while also urging a cleaning staff to make sure they get into the nooks and crannies of hard furniture. “It’s very manually intensive, but if you have a delicate surface, it’s your only option.”

etc & etc
https://www.fastcomp...commend-instead


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#12182 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 08:44 AM

No we don't but the WHO and our health administrators have already said that lockdowns need to remain in place until everyone is vaccinated since you can be vaccinated and still be a carrier.

 

Manitoba's top doctor to give COVID-19 update, possible news on loosening restrictions

https://www.cbc.ca/n...ussin-1.5878852



#12183 spanky123

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 08:53 AM

Manitoba's top doctor to give COVID-19 update, possible news on loosening restrictions

https://www.cbc.ca/n...ussin-1.5878852

 

 

No question there will be public pressure to ease restrictions. The stuff that has less of an impact on the average person's rights (ie international travel) will be the last to go however.



#12184 Greg

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 08:59 AM

If the US hits 3,500 deaths today I'll call that a plateau or even a drop.

 

Monday was a holiday. You need to see the Wednesday numbers to know.


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#12185 Ismo07

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 09:53 AM

If you look at any of the flu charts or past pandemics then infections start to plateau in January. No magic, nothing unusual. We know that warming weather and more sunlight (ie vitamin D) slow the rate of infection by viruses.

 

Problem is that if the authorities tell people that then they are worried that they will start to ignore lockdown orders.

 

Doesn't Brazil have sunlight everyday?



#12186 spanky123

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 11:16 AM

^ Here is Wikipedia's explanation.

 

Each annual flu season is normally associated with a major influenzavirus subtype. The associated subtype changes each year, due to development of immunological resistance to a previous year's strain (through exposure and vaccinations), and mutational changes in previously dormant viruses strains.

The exact mechanism behind the seasonal nature of influenza outbreaks is unknown. Some proposed explanations are:

  • People are indoors more often during the winter, they are in close contact more often, and this promotes transmission from person to person.
  • A seasonal decline in the amount of ultraviolet radiation may reduce the likelihood of the virus being damaged or killed by direct radiation damage or indirect effects (i. e. ozone concentration) increasing the probability of infection.
  • Cold temperatures lead to drier air, which may dehydrate mucous membranes, preventing the body from effectively defending against respiratory virus infections.[2][3][4]
  • Viruses are preserved in colder temperatures due to slower decomposition, so they linger longer on exposed surfaces (doorknobs, countertops, etc.).
  • In nations where children do not go to school in the summer, there is a more pronounced beginning to flu season, coinciding with the start of public school.[citation needed] It is thought that the day care environment is perfect for the spread of illness.
  • Vitamin D production from Ultraviolet-B in the skin changes with the seasons and affects the immune system.[5][6][7]

Research in guinea pigs has shown that the aerosol transmission of the virus is enhanced when the air is cold and dry.[2] The dependence on aridity appears to be due to degradation of the virus particles in moist air, while the dependence on cold appears to be due to infected hosts shedding the virus for a longer period of time. The researchers did not find that the cold impaired the immune response of the guinea pigs to the virus.



#12187 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 11:37 AM

There are 11 more deaths and 111 new cases of COVID-19 in Manitoba on Tuesday.

 

It's the first day the province has had a double-digit number of deaths since Jan. 7, when there were 12.

 

Chief Provincial Public Health Officer Brent Roussin said the numbers are still trending in the right direction compared to when daily case counts ranged from the low 400s to as high as 546 in November.

 

As a result, the province is in a position to consider loosening current restrictions, he said.

 

https://www.cbc.ca/n...ussin-1.5878852


Edited by Victoria Watcher, 19 January 2021 - 11:37 AM.


#12188 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 12:38 PM

Canada is likely to see another dramatic drop in new cases again today.

 

with only alberta and BC left to report now this looks like canada's best day in many many weeks.

 

NEW CASES - total per day reported, Canada

 

January 15 - 6816

January 16 - 6476 (BC figures will be absent from Jan 16/17 numbers, will be added to January 18 total)

January 17 - 6436 (BC figures will be absent from Jan 16/17 numbers, will be added to January 18 total)

  • Alberta loosens restrictions on personal care services

January 18 - 6453 (includes 3 days of BC numbers)

January 19 - 3746 ** waiting for BC and Alberta


Edited by Victoria Watcher, 19 January 2021 - 12:39 PM.


#12189 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 03:02 PM

alberta down from 474 yesterday.

 

 

 

 

https://lethbridgene...-in-south-zone/

 

Alberta Health Services has released its COVID-19 update for Tuesday, detailing the numbers compiled over the past 24 hours.

 

456 cases were confirmed across the province, bringing the total to 117,767. Of those, 11,096 cases are active while 105,208 people have recovered.

 

In the South Zone, 17 people contracted the virus including five in Lethbridge.

Active infections across the region and locally fell slightly.


Edited by Victoria Watcher, 19 January 2021 - 03:03 PM.


#12190 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 03:41 PM

we were on a cross-country downswing until BC muffed it today.

 

 

 

B.C. records another 465 COVID-19 cases, 12 deaths and 70 in ICU

https://globalnews.c...d19-january-19/



#12191 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 04:33 PM

DAKOTAS REPORT

 

 

#47 and #46 in new cases today.



#12192 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 04:48 PM

News release, 9:15am EST January 15, 2021:

 

New modelling released by the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) suggests the number of daily COVID-19 cases could more than triple to 30,000 if people increase their contacts during a time of widespread community transmission.

 

The report also projects that if Canadians simply maintain their current levels of contact with people outside their households, case counts will still rise to roughly 13,000 a day from 7,900 now.

 

The modellers said that, based on current case counts, Canada "remains on a rapid growth trajectory," with roughly 2,000 more people expected to die over the next 10 days as the country approaches a death toll of 20,000. As many as 100,000 more people could contract the virus over the next week and a half, PHAC said.

 

 

 

 

NEW CASES - total per day reported, Canada


January 15 - 6816

January 16 - 6476 (BC figures will be absent from Jan 16/17 numbers, will be added to January 18 total)

January 17 - 6436 (BC figures will be absent from Jan 16/17 numbers, will be added to January 18 total)

  • Alberta loosens restrictions on personal care services

January 18 - 6453 (includes 3 days of BC numbers)

January 19 - 4679

 
 
 
 

NEW DEATHS - total per day reported, Canada


January 15 - 145 (does not include 46 carried forward from earlier dates in Ontario, reporting error)

January 16 - 136 (BC figures will be absent from Jan 16/17 numbers, will be added to January 18 total)

January 17 - 149 (BC figures will be absent from Jan 16/17 numbers, will be added to January 18 total)

  • Alberta loosens restrictions on personal care services

January 18 - 86 (20 “New” Quebec death figures from Jan. 11-14 excluded.  Includes 3 days of BC numbers)

January 19 - 146

 

Edited by Victoria Watcher, 19 January 2021 - 04:49 PM.


#12193 Barrrister

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 04:50 PM

The Island is up to 17 deaths, 14 in Hospital and 5 in ICU (upward trend). Total of 21 new cases.



#12194 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 04:52 PM

If the US hits 3,500 deaths today I'll call that a plateau or even a drop.

 

2650.

 

https://www.worldome...fo/coronavirus/

 

but greg is right there is probably some counting missing today.



#12195 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 06:40 PM

Israelis aged 40+ start receiving vaccines in race to halt record infections

 

Health minister orders providers to prepare to administer 250,000 shots per day; ministry recommends vaccines for pregnant and nursing women

 

 

 

https://www.timesofi...ord-infections/

 

 

 

 

 

 

bad day for deaths in the UK today.  but cases seem to be on a real downturn.

 

https://www.worldome...rus/country/uk/

 

 

 

 

 

and here we are:

 

https://www.worldome...country/canada/

 

 

 

 

 


Edited by Victoria Watcher, 19 January 2021 - 06:51 PM.


#12196 LJ

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Posted 19 January 2021 - 08:23 PM

As soon as the US can vaccinate everyone over sixty five we should see a serious drop both in the death rate and hospitalizations. We are thinking of heading down to California both for some un and the vaccine in the next month or so. I am growing increasingly skeptical about the availability of vaccine any time soon here in Canada.

Already registered for my vaccine in Arizona, don't have an appointment yet.


Life's a journey......so roll down the window and enjoy the breeze.

#12197 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 20 January 2021 - 06:58 AM

Israel set to be first country to vaccinate entire population against COVID-19

https://www.european...ainst-covid-19/

 

 

 

After record infections, record vaccines: Israel gives 200,000 shots in past day

 

Health minister says over 2.2 million people in country have now had at least one dose; 8,511 new infections detected on Tuesday, down from over 10,000 the day before

https://www.timesofi...ts-in-past-day/

 

 

 

israel is now vaccinating 40-year-olds.


Edited by Victoria Watcher, 20 January 2021 - 07:00 AM.


#12198 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 20 January 2021 - 07:29 AM

A group of long-term care workers in rural Quebec have taken extreme measures to keep COVID-19 from entering their facility: they have each decided to move in with the residents.

 

https://www.ctvnews....9-out-1.5273967

 

 

 

 

with seemingly nearly every staff member suffering from obesity maybe this is the best move for all.

 

 

 

 


Edited by Victoria Watcher, 20 January 2021 - 07:30 AM.


#12199 Ismo07

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Posted 20 January 2021 - 08:28 AM

with seemingly nearly every staff member suffering from obesity maybe this is the best move for all.

 

 

Although not super slim the photo looks a little stretched out which could add a few pounds and lose a couple inches...


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#12200 amor de cosmos

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Posted 20 January 2021 - 08:38 AM

In the paper "High-Resolution Agent-Based Modeling of COVID-19 Spreading in a Small Town," published in Advanced Theory and Simulations, the team trains its system, developed at the resolution of a single individual, on the city of New Rochelle -- one of the first outbreaks registered in the United States.
 
The ABM replicates, geographically and demographically, the town structure obtained from U.S. Census statistics and superimposes a high-resolution -- both temporal and spatial -- representation of the epidemic at the individual level, considering physical locations as well as unique features of communities, like human behavioral trends or local mobility patterns.
 
Among the study's findings are those suggesting that prioritizing vaccination of high-risk individuals has only a marginal effect on the number of COVID-19 deaths. To obtain significant improvements, a very large fraction of the town population should, in fact, be vaccinated. Importantly, the benefits of the restrictive measures in place during the first wave greatly surpass those from any of these selective vaccination scenarios. Even with a vaccine available, social distancing, masks, and mobility restrictions will still be key tools to fight COVID-19.
 
Porfiri pointed out that focusing on a city of New Rochelle's size was crucial to the research because most cities in the U.S. have comparable population sizes and concentrations. "We chose New Rochelle not only because of its place in the COVID timeline, but because agent-based modelling for mid-size towns is relatively unexplored despite the U.S. being largely composed of such towns and small cities," he said.

https://www.eurekale...o-ncm011921.php

COVID surge leaves UK hospitals like 'war zones': chief scientist
https://medicalxpres...pitals-war.html

Russia files for Sputnik vaccine registration in EU
https://medicalxpres...tration-eu.html

The Chumakov Federal Scientific Center for Research and Development of Immune and Biological Products of the Russian Academy of Sciences has submitted to the Russian health ministry documents for registration of its anti-coronavirus vaccine, Covi-Vac
https://tass.com/society/1246733

australia on new year's eve. dealing with coronavirus has made them a lot more free than the US:

sub-buzz-17834-1611089316-10.jpg?downsiz

from an aus & nz gallery
https://www.buzzfeed...-covid-pandemic

Beijing's Daxing District issued a notification Wednesday banning all people in the district from leaving the capital in the wake of new COVID-19 cases
http://www.ecns.cn/n...te1837665.shtml

 

Beijing will extend the health observation period to 28 days for inbound travelers from overseas to avoid the import of COVID-19 cases, according to a press conference held by municipal authorities on Tuesday.

The new "14+7+7" model comprises the 14-day centralized medical quarantine, one week of home isolation or centralized quarantine, and another week of health monitoring.

http://www.ecns.cn/n...te1837526.shtml

Over 15 million people vaccinated in China against COVID-19: NHC
http://www.ecns.cn/n...te1838113.shtml

 

The governor of North China's Hebei Province has demanded a rescreening of all COVID-19 testing results carried out by third-party agencies in a bid to detect loopholes or falsifying of data, after one of the agencies in charge of sample processing in Longyao county, Xingtai reportedly hid three positive results, despite the coronavirus outbreak ravaging the region. 

Jinan Huaxi Medical Laboratory, which was hired to process COVID-19 tests in Longyao, reported on Thursday to the local health commission that it had finished the analysis of some 310,000 swab samples taken from the county's residents, which had all returned negative results, when in fact it had not even completed the testing. 

Two days later, the company made a different claim, saying that a set of samples had tested positive. The county immediately carried out an investigation, which found two confirmed cases and one asymptomatic case on Sunday, while exposing the lab's false reporting of the samples that it had received. Police detained the person in charge of the company. 

In response to the incident, Xu Qin, governor of Hebei, ordered a thorough reexamination of all the nucleic acid tests carried out by agencies, stressing that "no one should be left out, and all data be authentic," China News reported on Monday.

https://www.globalti...1/1213176.shtml
 

The number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the United States surpassed the grim milestone of 400,000 on Tuesday, the last full day of Donald Trump's presidency.
 
100,000 Deaths Just over a Month
 
With the national confirmed cases topping 24.18 million, the death toll across the country rose to 400,292 as of 3:22 p.m. local time on Tuesday, according to a tally by Johns Hopkins University (JHU).
 
New York State reported 41,350 fatalities, at the top of the U.S. state-level death toll list. California recorded the second most deaths of 33,763, followed by Texas with 32,729 deaths and Florida with 24,274 deaths, showed the JHU data.
 
States with more than 12,000 fatalities also include New Jersey, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Massachusetts and Georgia.
 
The saddening milestone came just over a month after the U.S. COVID-19 death toll topped 300,000 on Dec. 14. It took nearly four months for the national death toll to climb from 100,000 to 200,000, and less than three months to jump from 200,000 to 300,000.

*snip*

How U.S. Guaranteed Its Failure

Political polarization and a rejection of science have stymied the U.S. ability to control the COVID-19 pandemic, said a New York Times article on Sunday.

The Trump administration "largely delegated responsibility for controlling the virus and reopening the economy to 50 governors, fracturing the nation's response," said the article titled "One Year, 400,000 Coronavirus Deaths: How the U.S. Guaranteed Its Own Failure."

"The severity of the current outbreak can be traced to the rush to reopen last spring... Science was sidelined at every level of government. More than 100 state and local health officials have been fired or have resigned since the beginning of the pandemic," the article said.

"There are serious structural issues that hindered states' and the public's ability to act," wrote Vox's German Lopez at the beginning of this month.

"Experts have long argued that the US's public health infrastructure is underresourced and ill prepared for a serious crisis, and the pandemic has exposed this many times over: Nearly a year into the pandemic, no state has capacities for testing and contact tracing that most experts would consider adequate," said Lopez.

http://www.ecns.cn/n...te1837479.shtml

this model from sept 4 wasn't far off

A key forecasting model often cited by experts and used by the White House has revised its prediction of COVID-19 deaths in the U.S., now estimating a peak of 410,451 by Jan. 1. 
 
The model created by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington posted an update Friday predicting an additional 224,000 Americans will die by the beginning of next year. 
 
The model says that as many as 122,000 of those deaths could be avoided with safety measures, including near-universal mask use, but it warns that easing restrictions could cause the death toll to be more than 620,000.

“We all must learn from those leaders of nations where the virus has been contained, or where second waves of infections have occurred, and where swift action has been taken to prevent loss of life,” IHME Director Christopher Murray said in a statement.

https://thehill.com/...n-us-by-january
 

The latest data released by Johns Hopkins University indicates that the US is still a long ways off from getting a handle on the COVID-19 pandemic. As of Monday, the Land of the Free reported 141,999 new coronavirus cases, with spikes being detected in California, New York, Texas, Florida and Virginia.

A recently published Washington Post-ABC News poll has determined that a majority of Americans believe the COVID-19 pandemic is far from being under control, as medical professionals and hospitals across the nation struggle to keep up with increasing cases.
 

The survey, which polled a national sample of 1,002 adults through phone calls made to a cellphone or landline, found that 52% of surveyed individuals believed the deadly virus was “not at all” under control. Only 3% of polled Americans held the notion that the deadly viral outbreak was “completely” under control.


In regards to how US President Donald Trump managed to handle the respiratory disease’s arrival in the US, a whopping 51% of those surveyed said they strongly disliked his tactics.

https://sputniknews....l-survey-finds/



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