I was hoping that with some many people double vaccinated that we would have had a much greater drop in hospitalization numbers. As we went from 50% vaccinated to about 80% vaccinated I really expected to see a drop in hospitalizations here on the island. Instead the numbers grew by an awful lot and then stayed pretty high over the last few weeks. In July we only had three or four in hospital on the island and now we seem to be up around fifty plus.
Judging by the ratio of vaccinated as opposed to unvaccinated in the hospital the vaccines seem to be doing a good job. So why the real increase in hospitalizations since the summer.
Because the virus comes in waves and is not static. So an increase in vaccinations while the wave is increasing as well can not attribute to lower hospitalizations. As the wave retreats you will see that. You can determine how bad the wave could've potentially have been with respect to hospitalization if say we had 50% of vaccines. Still dodgey to extrapolate that, if you are wrong you wouldn't be able to redo the math because some people might say you made the mistake on purpose and were hiding details from them. I'm certain the vaccines helped and this wave would've been far worse.