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2021 Canadian General Election and term discussion


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#4121 Mike K.

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Posted 21 March 2025 - 07:19 AM

We’re like Mississippi and Kentucky, right? I think?

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#4122 Barrister

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Posted 21 March 2025 - 07:32 AM

Things have been getting steadily worse here. 



#4123 dasmo

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Posted 21 March 2025 - 07:36 AM

Everywhere.

#4124 Mike K.

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Posted 21 March 2025 - 04:24 PM

I just asked Grok if it thinks Carney or Poilevre will win the next election.

 

Grok didn't know Carney was just minted Canada's new PM, and suggested Carney may run against Poilevre, or may not.

 

:confused:

 

I stopped reading Grok's musings after that.


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#4125 max.bravo

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Posted 21 March 2025 - 07:20 PM

Carney will win a majority. Poilievre didn’t adapt to the not-Trudeau candidate.

Quick election period. Liberal majority. More of the same. Then annexation.

#4126 LJ

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Posted 21 March 2025 - 07:24 PM

Carney will win a majority. Poilievre didn’t adapt to the not-Trudeau candidate.

Quick election period. Liberal majority. More of the same. Then annexation.

The campaign hasn't started yet, we will see how Poilievre adapts then.

 

Carney will lose badly in any debate.


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#4127 Lupurus2901

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Posted 21 March 2025 - 08:29 PM

I don't see this happening but if Poilievre manages to fumble this election it would be an all-time political faceplant. Even a con minority would be pretty funny with the hand he's been dealt.


Feeling the urge to tap the sign
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#4128 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 21 March 2025 - 09:30 PM

Carney will win a majority. Poilievre didn’t adapt to the not-Trudeau candidate.

Quick election period. Liberal majority. More of the same. Then annexation.


I fear this but have some hope Carney fumbles.

#4129 m3m

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Posted 22 March 2025 - 02:25 AM

338 currently has LPC winning 178 seats and the CPC 129.

They give the cons only 8% chance of forming government.

No matter who wins, the loser will have completed the greatest fumble of all time.

https://338canada.com/federal.htm
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#4130 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 22 March 2025 - 04:19 AM

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#4131 Barrister

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Posted 22 March 2025 - 07:37 AM

Virginia all year round is starting to make sense. At least I have a family doctor there.



#4132 Tony

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Posted 22 March 2025 - 08:02 AM

If a large number of the people  causing population increases are students and not employed  at all or only part time then the GDP per person would be expected to decline?


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#4133 phx

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Posted 22 March 2025 - 04:37 PM

If a large number of the people  causing population increases are students and not employed  at all 

The chart says “GDP per worker"



#4134 Tony

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Posted 22 March 2025 - 06:06 PM

Good point  per worker.       It would effect GDP per capita.

 

Full time equivalent? Is it prorated data?

 

Any country/province etc. with a larger than average part time working population would show a lower GDP per worker if it is not prorated? The participation rate especially for young and partially retired workers would also impact the results.

 

Another chart source.  https://data.worldba...KD?locations=CA



#4135 LJ

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Posted 22 March 2025 - 07:14 PM

338 currently has LPC winning 178 seats and the CPC 129.

They give the cons only 8% chance of forming government.

No matter who wins, the loser will have completed the greatest fumble of all time.

https://338canada.com/federal.htm

The loser, if it's the CPC didn't fumble, the Canadian electorate did.


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#4136 Mike K.

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Posted 22 March 2025 - 07:44 PM

2025 election thread: https://vibrantvicto...ion-april-28th/

Please note, that this thread will soon be locked.

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#4137 Lupurus2901

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Posted 28 April 2025 - 09:28 PM

I don't see this happening but if Poilievre manages to fumble this election it would be an all-time political faceplant. Even a con minority would be pretty funny with the hand he's been dealt.


What a three months it's been.
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#4138 Barrister

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Posted 28 April 2025 - 09:38 PM

Looks like a lib minority with NDP. Just about were we started.



#4139 LJ

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Posted 29 April 2025 - 07:57 PM

Looks like a lib minority with NDP. Just about were we started.

Nope, the liberals know they don't have to form a partnership with anyone, the NDP is broke and cannot afford to have the government fall and create another election. The libs will just perform as if they have a majority.


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#4140 lanforod

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Posted 30 April 2025 - 06:58 AM

Yeah, though I could see them attempt to get a few NDP to cross floors.



 



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