https://www.telegrap...osing-to-trump/
Mark Carney lost the battle over Brexit. Now he’s losing to Trump
The ‘high priest of Project Fear’ is struggling to shield Canada’s industrial heartlands from US tariffs
Everett Eissenstat, a partner at law firm Squire Patton Boggs, who served in the first Trump administration, says: “The president sees the trade deficit and he is convinced that Canada is not trading fairly with the United States.”
Suspending negotiations may be a tactical move. The USMCA deal that is currently shielding Canada from the worst of the tariffs is up for renewal next year, with a review starting in July. The longer negotiations are suspended, the greater the pressure on Ottawa.
“Obviously there is a risk that the Trump administration will leverage our current trade difficulties to extract concessions and to radically renegotiate the terms of the USMCA,” says Kongtsa.
Could Trump threaten to take the whole deal off the table? “Absolutely, yes,” says Eissenstat. “I don’t think he’s committed to preserving the agreement. It’s going to be tough, there’s no doubt about it.”
A key point of contention in negotiations, when they resume, will be access to Canada’s dairy market. The sector has one of the most powerful lobbies in the country and is seen as politically crucial to keep on side.
Right now, Canada is out in the cold, in contrast to the UK, the EU, Japan and South Korea, which have all secured US trade deals. China has even brokered a one-year detente. Claudia Sheinbaum, the Mexican president, hailed “very good progress” in US negotiations just a day after Trump ended talks with Canada.
So far Canadian voters blame Trump, not Carney, for the country’s pariah status.
“I think Canadians are pretty realistic about how hard this is, how difficult it is to negotiate with the current US administration,” says Murphy, who is now executive vice president of strategic affairs at construction company Aecon.
“In the current context, they’re prepared to cut the prime minister slack.”
The question is: how long will this patience last?