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2017 BC General Election + subsequent fallout


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#2421 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 08:41 PM

I think this might be it: https://electionsbce..._Candidate.html

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#2422 lanforod

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 08:45 PM

Thats the same link I posted...

 

Anyways, Libs in the lead by 10%, 3/111 reporting...


Edited by lanforod, 30 January 2019 - 08:46 PM.


#2423 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 08:46 PM

Your link points to an error, at least it does for me?

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#2424 lanforod

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 08:48 PM

Your link points to an error, at least it does for me?

 

Fixed my post  :banana:



#2425 lanforod

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 08:55 PM

at what point of reports can it be called? 5/111 now has NDP up 5%. 



#2426 Sparky

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 08:58 PM

^ after the advanced polls have been counted. I think it could be that close.

#2427 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:01 PM

I'd imagine once we cross 15,000 votes (including the 9,300 early votes) we'll have a pretty good idea.

 

In the 2017 election 25,000 voters cast a vote out of ~45,000 eligible voters. We're averaging about 110 votes per box right now.


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#2428 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:04 PM

53% for the NDP now, 14 boxes reporting, 1,650 votes (118 per box).


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#2429 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:09 PM

122 average now, 16 boxes.


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#2430 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:14 PM

LIB: 42.81%

NDP: 47.18%

 

26/111


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#2431 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:16 PM

LIB: 41.21%

NDP: 48.53%

 

31/111


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#2432 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:22 PM

The interim results make the Mainstreet poll look pretty flaky.


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#2433 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:25 PM

and the Georgia Straight that has published an article stating a liberal win.

#2434 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:30 PM

If the average turn-out per box holds, more people will have voted in the by-election than in the 2017, unless the 25k votes didn't include early ballots.


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#2435 RFS

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:35 PM

According to people on Twitter there are over 1000 absentee ballots that won’t be counted till next week

#2436 RFS

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:38 PM

and the Georgia Straight that has published an article stating a liberal win.


I guarantee that “mistake” was done on purpose to drive traffic to their site

#2437 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:52 PM

The per-box count keeps rising. 174 now, up from 110.

 

73/111


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#2438 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 09:59 PM

Well, that's all she wrote. The NDP are miles ahead with 49%, LIBs at 41% and 81 boxes have reported.


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#2439 Mike K.

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Posted 30 January 2019 - 10:21 PM

The relatively dismal turn-out for the Greens is a surprise. I would have thought they'd end up with at least 10%, but they're barely above 7%. Maybe that's in response to not wanting to split the NDP vote, or maybe that's an indicator that the 2017 numbers the Greens garnered were indeed the product of a protest vote against the Liberals.


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#2440 spanky123

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Posted 31 January 2019 - 06:34 AM

The interim results make the Mainstreet poll look pretty flaky.


I think that in general, the people who pay for polls get exactly the results that they expect.

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