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Victoria 2018 mayoral poll #2: who do you plan to vote for?


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Poll: Mayoral poll #2 (62 member(s) have cast votes)

Who do you plan to vote for in the upcoming election?

  1. Geoghegan, Mike (4 votes [6.45%])

    Percentage of vote: 6.45%

  2. Hammond, Stephen (36 votes [58.06%])

    Percentage of vote: 58.06%

  3. Helps, Lisa (12 votes [19.35%])

    Percentage of vote: 19.35%

  4. McGuigan, Bruce (9 votes [14.52%])

    Percentage of vote: 14.52%

  5. Other (1 votes [1.61%])

    Percentage of vote: 1.61%

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#1 Mike K.

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Posted 15 October 2018 - 06:14 PM

This is the second poll for a Victoria mayoral candidate in the run-up to the 2018 election.

 

You can view the first poll results here.

 

Please note: your poll choice is anonymous. Your username is not displayed alongside your selected candidate.


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#2 Mike K.

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Posted 15 October 2018 - 08:21 PM

19 votes so far:

 

Geoghegan: 15.79%

Hammond: 68.42%

Helps: 10.53%

McGuigan: 5.26%


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#3 lanforod

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Posted 15 October 2018 - 09:34 PM

Where are the Saanich polls. I can't vote in these ones :P.


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#4 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 05:09 AM

32 votes so far:

 

Geoghegan: 9.38%

Hammond: 62.50%

Helps: 12.50%

McGuigan: 15.62%


Edited by Victoria Watcher, 16 October 2018 - 05:09 AM.


#5 Mike K.

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 07:39 AM

What’s interesting is Helps is now trailing her former result while Geoghegan and and McGuigan picked up support. Hammond is way, way ahead.

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#6 Mike K.

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 11:08 AM

43 votes:

 

Geoghegan: 6.98%

Hammond: 65.12%

Helps: 13.95%

McGuigan: 13.95%


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#7 Baro

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 11:13 AM

Interesting how the VV facebook poll between Mike and Steve showed it almost 50/50 with mike a little ahead,  but this one shows Steve as the huge VV favourite.


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#8 Nparker

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 11:15 AM

Interesting how the VV facebook poll between Mike and Steve showed it almost 50/50 with mike a little ahead,  but this one shows Steve as the huge VV favourite.

I think there is little doubt that the VV Facebook poll was "augmented" by non-CoV voters to favour MG.


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#9 gstc84

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 11:16 AM

Interesting how the VV facebook poll between Mike and Steve showed it almost 50/50 with mike a little ahead,  but this one shows Steve as the huge VV favourite.

 

That's why the two-way polls are pretty useless. In addition to what Nparker just noted, a lot of Helps voters also voted for Mike G in that poll because they recognize that Hammond is the biggest threat to Helps' reelection.


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#10 Mike K.

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 11:19 AM

Yes, very good point. Facebook's only two options is a pretty lame way of 'polling.'


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#11 RFS

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 11:37 AM

Yes, very good point. Facebook's only two options is a pretty lame way of 'polling.'

 

I think there is little doubt that the VV Facebook poll was "augmented" by non-CoV voters to favour MG.

 

Come on.  And a VV thread is so much better?  You don't think there is a higher degree of selection bias on here than facebook? Or you think only VV members who actually live in the CoV have voted?  I doubt it



#12 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 11:49 AM

it's likely harder to round up out-of-greater victoria votes here with registration and all.



#13 Mike K.

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 01:07 PM

The votes here are guaranteed to be 95% local, or whatever. There were votes from across the country in the Facebook poll.

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#14 Belleprincess

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 08:05 PM

I don’t trust big mike. Can’t put my finger on what it is, just really don’t like the cut of his jib
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#15 FernwoodFrank

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Posted 17 October 2018 - 07:19 AM

voted for Hammond - he came to our house last week - very passionate about listening to us homeowners.


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#16 Nparker

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Posted 17 October 2018 - 07:28 AM

I don’t trust big mike. Can’t put my finger on what it is, just really don’t like the cut of his jib

I can't speak for his jib, but I get the sense he'd be a terribly confrontational mayor.



#17 rmpeers

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Posted 17 October 2018 - 07:48 AM

I can't speak for his jib, but I get the sense he'd be a terribly confrontational mayor.


Yeah, we need someone who can hopefully bring people together. It's been 4 years of Trump style divisiveness with Helps. I believe Hammond is our best hope.
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#18 RFS

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Posted 17 October 2018 - 07:59 AM

voted for Hammond - he came to our house last week - very passionate about listening to us homeowners.

double edged sword.  Listen to homeowners - good.  Neighborhood associations blocking developments - bad.


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#19 Baro

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Posted 17 October 2018 - 09:30 AM

I had a young kid from the Helps campaign come to my door,  very politely told them more or less what I think of her and kept it as short and kind as possible.  So far that's my only interaction with any campaign.  You'd think living right in the heart of the densest neighbourhood in the city I'd see a few more door knockers?  My apartment barely has a lobby, it's just 5 individual doorbells so we're really accessible.

 

Way back in the day when I was living with my folks in Rockland we'd get 3-4 of the actual candidates come to the door each election.  Is this just a case of politicians knowing that the home owning vote is much more valuable and dependable than renters?


"beats greezy have baked donut-dough"

#20 John M.

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Posted 17 October 2018 - 09:31 AM

It'd be neat to see a poll for the council race too. Can you limit the choices to eight? 



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