As is stands the Wet'suwet'en are majority in favour of the pipeline, I have my sources with numbers and it is not close.
As to government not keeping to agreements, this may have been true a couple of generations ago but in the last 30 years I can not think of examples where government has not done their part of the agreement. The only conflict I can think of are times when there is a disagreement between the two sides about how interpret part of an agreement, but then that is the case all the time in contract law. I have been part of those sort of disagreements when how the First Nation and the government interpreted the words in the agreement, all agreements and contracts are imperfect.
As to being governed well or not and corruption, there is no easy way to prove this one way or another. I can offer from my knowledge my experience and observations here in BC.
1) Living in squalor: this is very complex due to the way the federal government has created the laws for reserve lands, the financial micromanaging of bands, and the location of a lot of reserves. The perverse nature of federal laws governing reserve lands means that people who want to own their own home can only get a mortgage for mobile home meaning on a lot of reserves the people doing the best are living in mobile homes. The federal government requires a very bureaucratic bang governance structure that is not all suited to communities with under 1,000 residents. The federal government also requires bands to administer a lot of local social services for them on reserve but provides no funding to do this. As an example, it is the bands that have to make the monthly social assistance payments through their own accounts. Money coming from the federal government is all slotted for very specific things and if it is used for something that is needed but not quite what the funding program states the band is breach of the agreement.
This happens because the federal government will not let bands make decisions on how they want to use their money and expect all bands to fit into one specific model. Basically 90% of bands are square pegs trying to fit not into a round home but a sphere. The obtuse and byzantine requirements together with extreme micro-management (an example, bands are expected to provide the federal government with a monthly census of all band members and all the housing on reserve which requires 1/4 of a fulltime job to deal with for the smallest of bands). Bands are expected to provide things like fire service on reserve but get close to no funding for it and they do not have the power to raise money to pay for the shortfall. A band I worked for did get royalties from a small mine on reserve. This money was restricted by the federal government for how it could be used and the band had ask to use it and using for day to day operations of their government was not approved use.
The location of the reserves is also a problem. It is not like BC the reserves were set up and then the land was settled, instead the reserves were set up after the best lands were no longer available. Also, the way reserves were allocated in BC did not allow for the First Nations people to have any decision making power over where they were located. The reserves in BC were set up to be tiny and unsustainable plots of land that are disconnected from each other. It means the costs in a lot of locations are much higher to do anything than otherwise either due to being remote or broken up enough that multiple things like water systems have to be built for small numbers of residents of reserve lands.
So why not move off of the reserve lands? A lot of people do to better their lives. This means that in a lot of the more remote communities the people that remain are not the brightest and best of the First Nation and can often barely look after themselves let alone the house they live in. Moving off reserve means that more or less any benefits that a First Nations person can get are no longer available to them. Bands that provide services to people living off the reserve are considered by the feds to be misspending money and if they find out they take that amount of money away from the band. Off of reserve lands the only things BC First Nations people have is a right to hunt and fish in their traditional territory.
2) Good or bad governance: The very way the band structure works makes it very hard to govern quickly or effectively. Band governments have less power than a municipality but are expected to take on roles the province and feds so. The bureaucratic structure requires more staff and in many communities there are not enough qualified people to do the work and it is also hard to attract people from the outside to move there. A friend worked from 2012-2016 in a coastal community with only 50 local residents and access in and out was only via boat or floatplane. There were no commercial services available. Getting in and out of the community cost her a lot of money each time she wanted to do it. Lack of local capacity is a huge problem.
The nature of how INAC treats bands creates a distrustful and adversarial relationship and that does nothing for the development of open and transparent band governance and in fact entrenches the idea of who to screw the feds as a mindset.
3) Corruption: Yes, there is corruption but it is not nearly as pervasive as people think given the media portrayal. The nature of the corruption is also not what most people think. First, what can be called corruption is bands using money for what they need and not what the federal government says they could need. I could go on with no end of examples of this, but this post is already too long so I will not.
Second, the way bands are treated by the federal government and the fact that the money they get is not from their own sources, a lot of bands deliberately try to squeeze the federal government for every dime they can get. High Chief and Council salaries come from this. Because the federal government will cover very generously cover travel costs for the council and staff there is a lot more travel than is needed because it can be used as a perk of the position. This is not a healthy situation and leads to negative governance patterns.
Here in BC a lot bands now have significant own source revenues through the agreements they have signed with the provincial government. This money is completely outside of the control of the federal government, if the band wants to, they can just split it between themselves. Having money that is only their own money means band membership are starting watch this money like hawks. These own source revenues are in many cases bigger than the financial value of any Treaty settlement.
Third, a lot bands have very small populations meaning it is easily happen that one faction can hold power for decades. It also means there is not the local capacity for oversight of the actions of the staff and everyone get comfortable with an insular and not great status quo.
Is there out and out corruption, as in actually stealing or doing things that illegal? Yes, but much less common than I think most people expect given the news. Given the constant oversight by the federal government it is actually hard to really steal. What happens most of the time is small scale graft.
This is only the tiniest view of the complexity of this issue. I was thinking about ending this with my estimate of how well bands are governed in BC but I think assigning numbers is much too simplistic so I will not do it. I will say that there is a core of bands that are very well governed, a large set that generally well governed and a like number of bands that are trying the best given their circumstances and finally there are bands that are really badly governed. I know who I would put in that last category because there was no way I would do any work for them and that list was a very clear minority.
Edited by Bernard, 02 March 2020 - 10:22 AM.