1362 replies to this topic

[Victoria Watcher]

[Nparker]

...Extreme weather events such as droughts or wildfires, made more frequent by our continued use of fossil fuels, are not only causing localized damage but are affecting crop yields, supply chains and the durability of housing, all of which is making life more expensive....

That is some grade-A bull crap.

 

Taxes, government-induced inflation and bureaucratic overreach are making life more expensive.

[Victoria Watcher]

And immigration.

[Nparker]

That falls under the category of government-induced inflation.   

[dasmo]

CBC is very comfortable lying

[mbjj]

If we attain a climate like parts of California, I look forward to growing oranges and lemons. Some friends in California who live near Sacramento post pics of their crop, it's quite amazing in a home garden. It can get quite chilly there in the winter, but 90s in the summer. We visited way back in the 1960s and it was very hot for us. 

[Nparker]

CBC is very comfortable lying

I would have little trouble lying myself if I were paid $1.4 billion from the government each year.

[dasmo]

The truth is that Cocoa production is just coming down from record highs. They are so comfortable lying that you can just take two seconds for almost any claim they make and find it to be a lie. 

 

 

[Tony]

 Cocoa beans have a useful life of about 2 years. Price will depend on many factors beyond just the last several years production. 2023/2024 production is the lowest since 2015/2016. It also depends on how much stock (surplus) is currently available. Other important variable are the expected net years production and expected future demand. 

 

Cocoa prices have been on a tear due to supply disruptions in the key producing nations of Ivory Coast and Ghana, Joules said. The two countries represent about 60% of global cocoa production.

Crops have been hit by black pod disease and swollen shoot virus and many trees are past their maximum yield potential because there has not been a major round of planting since the early 2000s, Joules said.

 

Heavy rains exacerbated the disease issues, Branch said, and the El Niño weather phenomenon has also led to drier conditions resulting in lower cocoa yields in previous years. Seasonal harmattan winds were more extreme this year, also affecting crop yields, Branch said.

 

Farmers in Ivory Coast are increasingly exiting cocoa production for more lucrative crops such as rubber, Joules said. The governments of Ghana and Ivory Coast set fixed prices for the farmers at the start of the season so they are not benefiting from the currently rally.

[Mike K.]

Tony. Bruh.

If you won’t respect our request to not keep posting with large text, we’ll have to place you in the penalty box.

[Matt R.]

Chocolate prices are already way way up. Food is going to get more and more expensive.

Can’t even get my usual white anymore.

Edited by Matt R., 30 March 2024 - 09:19 PM.

[Victoria Watcher]

Landlocked: As Island farmers adapt to climate change, lack of land a persistent problem

 

Farmers use everything from grafting to greenhouses to protect crops from extreme weather, but one problem that’s harder to solve is the shortage of affordable land

https://www.timescol...problem-8532509

[max.bravo]

Chocolate prices are already way way up. Food is going to get more and more expensive.

Can’t even get my usual white anymore.

You restaurant guys love cocaine eh.

I’m pleasantly surprised by the off-brand Mini Eggs my wife got from Costco - hershey Eggies. Not bad at all.

[Victoria Watcher]

Landlocked: As Island farmers adapt to climate change, lack of land a persistent problem

 

Farmers use everything from grafting to greenhouses to protect crops from extreme weather, but one problem that’s harder to solve is the shortage of affordable land

https://www.timescol...problem-8532509

 

 

 

I hope climate change isn't cauising the lack of land.  The funny thing about the article is it talks about cold snaps, not global warming.  Gloabal warming would be a boon for Canadain agriculture.

[Mike K.]

The easiest way for us to assess what is happening with our climate is to compare what plants we can grow successfully today, year-round and over a ten year period, that we could not grow in 1980 to 1990.

What’s one plant specie that we can plant in gardens today that we couldn’t before?

[Tony]

Tony. Bruh.

If you won’t respect our request to not keep posting with large text, we’ll have to place you in the penalty box.

No intention!. Thanks for the reminder. Perhaps got something to do with old eyes?

[dasmo]

Compared to the 1980s seasons, global cocoa supply has more than doubled to 4.449 million tonnes.

[Tony]

Chocolate prices are predicted to be considerably higher than they are now and have been in the past.

 

This is based on the current price that you have pay for cocoa beans futures. That  price is based on the availability and expectation of the next crop.

From 2020 to mid 2023 the price of cocoa  futures (buy now but delivered at a future date) per unit of weight has been less than $3000 on the futures market. It is currently over $9700 for the same unit of weight (per ton?)

 

This is the reason for the prediction. It is a prediction only. If there is a good next crop and demand is not too high then the predicted price may not be a large as is currently expected.

It is a prediction. Where is the lie?

 

(Cocoa beans can be stored for about 2years.) 

Edited by Tony, 31 March 2024 - 09:01 AM.

[Victoria Watcher]

Who cares?

The substitution likelihood for chocolate is remarkably high.

Edited by Victoria Watcher, 31 March 2024 - 09:02 AM.

[dasmo]

It’s because demand followed production obviously. As production doubled over that time frame it peaked in 2020/2021 to over 5000 million tons and thus it’s lowest price I assume. The lower price and overproduction would start to lead farmers away from producing more. Then enter the COVID measures which would have stunted production and distribution, combined with inflation created by the global currency debasement created by the monetary policy of minting unprecedented amounts of money used for nothing and you have an imbalance created. Now that the price has doubled you will see a move towards this crop again along with a reduction in demand and a balance might be found.

Only a fool would expect a non stop increase in production and demand for another 45 years….

Edited by dasmo, 31 March 2024 - 09:20 AM.