The problem in any race for mayor of Victoria is the scale of campaign needed to be successful is something like what it takes to win a federal seat. It is actually harder to win the mayor's seat than become MP for Victoria because you have to build the whole campaign up from nothing. I have had to do this numerous times and it takes a lot more time than people think.
200-400 active volunteers for 8 weeks - GOTV on election day will take at least 200 to 250 people
$60,000 to $120,000 - the more individual donors the better. A self funded campaign spending $120,000 is not going to get much traction and will fail. Ideal would be raising money from 400 to 800 people - donors become vry vested in the success of the campaign
Core campaign team in place and active by May 1st 2018 - they will at least four months to build the volunteer team needed
Effectively it means someone wanting to challenge Lisa Helps for mayor needs to start working on it by the fall of 2017.
Who could it be? Realistically it should be someone with experience of sitting on a council. Very few people have ever successful stepped into the mayor's job with no local government experience, the last one to do so in Victoria was David Turner and he lasted one term.
The pool of potential candidates is not large.
Finally, do you think Lisa Helps is that unpopular that she would b defeated in Victoria? I am not at all convinced of that