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Victoria population discussion | Census data | CRD projections


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#421 Mike K.

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Posted 09 February 2022 - 07:21 AM

Wow, you nailed it, David!
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#422 Citified.ca

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Posted 09 February 2022 - 08:57 AM

Here is a breakdown of the 2021 census, by municipality and region.

 

The core's population growth dominance has been outpaced by the West Shore, which saw its population grow significantly faster than the core both in terms of growth rate, and people. The Saanich Peninsula even outpaced the core in terms of growth rate.

 

Two municipalities dropped in population size. Can you guess which?

 

2021 census reveals West Shore's surging growth as Victoria's core loses momentum

https://victoria.cit...loses-momentum/


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#423 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 09 February 2022 - 09:01 AM

WHERE did the growth come from?  Do we know?   Pretty sure it's not births at local hospitals.


Edited by Victoria Watcher, 09 February 2022 - 09:02 AM.


#424 Mike K.

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Posted 09 February 2022 - 09:34 AM

From the rest of the country.

 

We'll have to wait for additional data releases from Statistics Canada to begin drilling down on migration patterns.


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#425 AllseeingEye

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Posted 09 February 2022 - 10:02 AM

BC was one of the leading, if not the leading province, for in-migration since the pandemic started so I don't think the increase in numbers provincially generally is a surprise but was did surprise me a bit was the local CMA numbers - I thought the Victoria CMA which I believe is technically defined as everything from Pt Renfrew down to the core and including out to the southern Gulf Island surpassed the 400K mark a couple of years ago. Surprised the regional number appears to apparently less than that figure.



#426 Mike K.

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Posted 09 February 2022 - 10:08 AM

The CMA is the 13 municipalities and adjacent unincorporated areas. The CRD includes Renfrew and the islands, etc, and was over 400,000 in the 2016 census.

 

There are varying population statistics, but the Canadian census is the dominant figure. Local jurisdictions release estimates, and that's likely where you may have seen higher numbers (the estimates tend to be higher).

 

And what further messes up Victoria's CMA is the invisible divide between the CRD and Cowichan Valley RD. Even though the CVRD is directly tethered to the CRD, for population statistics the CVRD is not factored into Victoria's CMA. We're an anomaly in that regard, and that makes the Capital's population appear much smaller than it actually is.


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#427 On the Level

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Posted 09 February 2022 - 10:59 AM

Why did they move View Royal from the Westshore to the Core?  Does anyone think of 6 mile pub or Elements Casino as being part of the core and not the Westshore?   The core would have had an increase of 8,269 with the westshore at 17,202. 



#428 Nparker

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Posted 09 February 2022 - 11:04 AM

Half of View Royal should be in the core and half in the west shore. In my version of amalgamation this is what would happen.


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#429 Mike K.

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Posted 09 February 2022 - 11:19 AM

Yes, they moved it a decade or so back. It should have a split designation as its population is rather evenly split between the two zones.

Without VR, the core’s growth would have been 4%, or half of the average growth rate of the CMA.

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#430 Barrrister

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Posted 09 February 2022 - 08:15 PM

If you have not noticed a number of businesses have been moving out of the core.



#431 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 14 February 2022 - 04:52 AM

When the latest census population numbers were released last week, Port Hardy stood out as one of the rare Vancouver Island municipalities with a population drop.

The District of Port Hardy, located near the top of the Island, saw its numbers slide by 5.6 per cent, to 3,902 in 2021 from 4,132 in 2016.

In the nearby town of Port McNeill, the population didn’t decline, but it barely budged, showing a 0.8 per cent increase. In 2021, Port McNeill had 2,356 residents, up from 2,337 in 2016.

The two communities are the largest on the north Island, and despite little population growth, both are facing housing shortages.


https://www.timescol...hortage-5058762

Edited by Victoria Watcher, 14 February 2022 - 04:54 AM.


#432 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 26 March 2022 - 11:51 AM

Canada Just Saw The Biggest Q4 For Residents Permanently Leaving Since The 1970s

https://betterdwelli...ince-the-1970s/

Edited by Victoria Watcher, 26 March 2022 - 11:51 AM.


#433 Casual Kev

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Posted 26 March 2022 - 01:55 PM

Langford alone added as many people as the core municipalities and the Saanich peninsula combined. That's nuts. 



#434 Barrrister

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Posted 26 March 2022 - 02:45 PM

VicWatch: I would not worry above emigration since it is mostly just doctors, engineers and nurses along with hi tech people. Very few people from either Academia, or vital government ministries have left. 


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#435 spanky123

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Posted 26 March 2022 - 03:49 PM

Canada Just Saw The Biggest Q4 For Residents Permanently Leaving Since The 1970s

https://betterdwelli...ince-the-1970s/

 

A lot of people have made a lot of money over the past two years. There are a number of jurisdictions with flat taxes, excellent medical and education systems and which are beautiful. The choice for many is simple, pay 15% of what you earn or 52%. The icing on the cake is that you won't wait 2 years for a specialist medical appointment either!


Edited by spanky123, 26 March 2022 - 03:50 PM.

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#436 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 14 April 2022 - 01:55 AM

Some asylum seekers who arrive in the UK on small boats across the Channel will be given a one-way ticket to Rwanda, under new government plans.

 

Home Secretary Priti Patel is in the African nation to agree a £120m trial involving mostly single men arriving in Britain on boats or lorries.

 

BBC home editor Mark Easton, reporting from Rwanda, said ministers face legal hurdles and substantial costs.

 

Refugee organisations have criticised the plans as cruel and urged a rethink.

 

Labour said the plan was "unworkable, unethical and extortionate" - the Lib Dems said it would be expensive and ineffective.

 

 

 

https://www.bbc.com/...litics-61097114


Edited by Victoria Watcher, 14 April 2022 - 01:55 AM.


#437 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 27 April 2022 - 10:40 AM

Of the more than 30.5 million Canadians aged 15 and over who were counted on the census, 100,815 of them identify as transgender or non-binary. That's 0.33 per cent of the total population, or about one in 300 people.

Generation Z Canadians, aged 17 to 24 years, were seven times more likely to identify as trans or non-binary than those in the oldest generation, aged 76 years and older.

https://www.cbc.ca/n...tscan-1.6431928




Thanks, truckers.

Edited by Victoria Watcher, 27 April 2022 - 10:41 AM.


#438 Victoria Watcher

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Posted 11 May 2022 - 12:26 PM

CRD chair blames lack of affordable housing for region’s low fertility rate

Victoria CMA’s fertility rate of 0.95 is the lowest in Canada

https://www.vicnews....fertility-rate/

The region’s low fertility is part of an ultimately explainable paradox. Despite the low fertility, the region grew by eight per cent between 2016 and 2021, as it continues to attract internal and external migrants, driving up home prices along the way. As Kerr said, without those outsiders, the region would face significantly worse labour shortages. Yet the region’s attractiveness, as measured by rising real estate prices, is also discouraging family formation, along with other factors, including changing gender norms as well as educational and career expectations.





Oh boy. He should have quit while he was ahead.

Edited by Victoria Watcher, 11 May 2022 - 12:28 PM.


#439 Nparker

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Posted 11 May 2022 - 12:57 PM

...Kerr said, without those outsiders, the region would face significantly worse labour shortages...

So if more babies were born in the CRD we'd have fewer labour shortages? Just how young does Kerr advocate for employment? Perhaps he is confusing the meanings of the word "labour".



#440 Mike K.

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Posted 11 May 2022 - 01:30 PM

The CRD expected much lower population growth, anyways.

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