1272 replies to this topic

[Victoria Watcher]

Albertans departing province for greener B.C. pastures, ATB report shows

In total, 23,639 people moved to Alberta while 29,086 moved to other provinces

https://calgaryheral...tb-report-shows

Edited by Victoria Watcher, 29 September 2021 - 02:55 PM.

[Victoria Watcher]

Did you move to British Columbia from another province in the past year? New data shows you aren’t the only one.

 

B.C. recorded Canada’s largest net gain in interprovincial migration in the twelve-month period ending June 30, 2021, according to Statistics Canada report released on Sept. 29.

 

The province’s net interprovincial migration – the difference between residents moving into and out of a region – was +34,277 in 2020/21.

 

B.C. also saw its largest migration increase in 28 years. The last time numbers were this high was 1993/94, when the province gained 37,871 residents.

 

 

 

 

https://www.vicnews....t-year-statcan/

 

 

 

that's the population equivalent to about a new Langford worth of people into the province.

Edited by Victoria Watcher, 30 September 2021 - 07:06 AM.

[On the Level]

 

The province’s net interprovincial migration – the difference between residents moving into and out of a region – was +34,277 in 2020/21.

 

that's the population equivalent to about a new Langford worth of people into the province.

 

 

Hard to know what the population of Langford is now.  Many of the previous CRD projections were before the recent explosion of development was confirmed.

 

 

Langford Mayor Stew Young said the growing city of just over 50,000 needs more homes for purchase

 

https://www.timescol...ayor-1.24360380

[Mike K.]

2016 census pegged it at 35,342, an increase of 20.9% from 2011.

Langford will have had to grow by over 40% between 2016-2021 to hit 50k people.

[Mike K.]

The City of Victoria has shed its year-over-year population figure for the first time in recent history, according to the 2020 population estimate released by the CRD. I can't believe we didn't catch this earlier.

The 2019 estimate had the CoV at 94,616, but the 2020 estimate pegged the City-proper at 94,415, a drop of 201 people.

Now keep in mind that the population rose roughly 1,200, 1,400 and 1,700 year-over-year 2017-2019, respectively. To lose 201 people, when the City was on track to gain roughly 2,000 people, is shocking.

Here's the link: https://www.crd.bc.c...vrsn=99376ecd_2

Langford gained 2,045 and Saanich gained 1,875 over the same period. Metchosin and Highlands lost population by a few people. The rest of the CRD gained population, so only Highland, Metchosin and the City of Victoria lost population.

[Nparker]

Does this figure include the 200+ unhoused the CoV accepted without question?

Edited by Nparker, 28 October 2021 - 08:22 PM.

[Mike K.]

I’m thinking, is this a post-secondary effect? That seems unlikely as every other* muni grew. And the data is more of a snapshot from earlier in the year, maybe?

So what caused a 2,200 person reduction (2,000 was supposed to be added based on the trajectory, yielding roughly 96,600 people).

[Nparker]

...So what caused a 2,200 person reduction

??

[lanforod]

I’m thinking, is this a post-secondary effect? That seems unlikely as every other* muni grew. And the data is more of a snapshot from earlier in the year, maybe?

So what caused a 2,200 person reduction (2,000 was supposed to be added based on the trajectory, yielding roughly 96,600 people).

Doubtful, if Saanich grew in line with expectations.

[Victoria Watcher]

Here’s a startling figure: 0.95.

 

As in, Greater Victoria is the only metropolitan area in Canada where the fertility rate — the number of babies a woman will have during her child-bearing years — has fallen below one.

 

In fact, ours is the only such area to experience more deaths than births every single year this century. Were it not for people moving here, our population would have fallen, not risen by 64,000 people as it has in the past decade.

 

 

https://www.timescol...-canada-4781366

[Nparker]

The city of the nearly dead and the nearly dead.

[A Girl is No one]

The city of the nearly dead and the nearly dead.

…And in need of meds

[Mike K.]

The Capital Region of BC grew at nearly three times the rate of other census metropolitan areas (CMAs) between 2020 and 2021, according to the latest population projections released by Statistics Canada.

 

The Capital's population rose from 409,697 to 415,573, an increase of 5,876 individuals or 1.4%, which eclipsed the national average growth rate of CMAs at 0.5%.

 

Later this year Statistics Canada will release the results of the 2021 national census, which will provide a more granular look at the region's population and other demographic data.

 

Here's the data table: https://www150.statc...?pid=1710013501

[Nparker]

And barely 2000 of those 5,876 individual were homeless arrivals from elsewhere 

[kitty surprise]

And barely 2000 of those 5,876 individual were homeless arrivals from elsewhere 

Buy one get one promo

[Mike K.]

Census details will be released tomorrow.

Anyone care to make any growth projections?

[DavidSchell]

Census details will be released tomorrow.

Anyone care to make any growth projections?

 

CMA 416K for 2021 ... 7.5% increase over 2016.

Edited by DavidSchell, 08 February 2022 - 03:36 PM.

[Mike K.]

Oops. I should have mentioned our baseline is 367,770, as per the 2016 CMA census.

If we add 7.5%, that makes David’s estimate land at 395,353.

[DavidSchell]

Oops. I should have mentioned our baseline is 367,770, as per the 2016 CMA census.

If we add 7.5%, that makes David’s estimate land at 395,353.

 

Thanks for the adjustment Mike, makes my call a little closer to reality, 

 

Victoria CMA B.C. 397,237

Edited by DavidSchell, 09 February 2022 - 06:04 AM.

[DavidSchell]

Victoria City: 

Population and dwellings Population, 20211 91,867 Population, 20161 85,792 Population percentage change, 2016 to 2021 7.1