Time for me to take my licks. I should have moved more votes from the bottom up to the top.
Lisa Helps
Rob predicts 9106, actual: 12642
Correct prediction but way underestimated. A clean win, not affected by vote-splitting. A strong get-out-the-vote effort by her team.
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Stephen Hammond
Rob predicts 9075, actual: 8717
Pretty good call! I knew he had strong support but not enough to win. Good numbers for a relatively new challenger.
Mike Geoghegan
Rob predicts 4102, actual: 4335
Not bad. I think he got stronger as time went on.
Bruce McGuigan
Rob predicts 3020; actual 2377
He did worse than I thought he would. A rinky-dink campaign for a relative unknown thinking he could be mayor--with the expected result. He should have come out of the box big but couldn't.
Rob Duncan
Rob predicts 1027; actual: 527
He did way worse. I guess people still see him as a single issue/joke candidate.
Rymo
Rob predicts 601, actual: 71
I was way, way off. He got 2108 in 2014 running as a conventional council candidate. His CSV installations and video did nothing for him. I doubt even his friends, clients and family voted for him. Absolute last on the results list, he only did slightly better than Shebib in 2014.
Saul Anderson
Rob predicts 530, actual: 219
I thought he had a few more fans. His t-shirts are great! Clearly people aren't wasting their votes on non-serious candidates.
Alexander Schmid
Rob predicts 323, actual: 231
Overestimated a bit again. I don't really know what this guy's deal is.
David Johnston
Rob predicts 297, actual: 119
I guess I thought he'd pick up a few more homeless sympathizers. I correctly guessed he'd be second from the bottom.
Krzysztof Zmuda
Rob predicts 232, actual: 148
Over, but not bad. I thought he'd pick up a few customer votes and some hardcore mad-as-hell voters than he actually did.
Edited by Rob Randall, 21 October 2018 - 11:05 AM.